Friday, June 2, 2023

Should We Forgive Those who Cause Hate and Those Who Support? (The Purpose of a Hate Narrative)

The unequivocable answer is yes forgiveness is the best approach but it comes with the responsibility not to forget and to push the aspects that are broken in our system to correct themselves so as to lower the velocity and propensity of hate. We owe it to the next generation to build the best justice system we can and not be derailed in that effort of innovating the system.  The people who engage in hate based behaviors often do so for self interested reasons. Such behaviors may be on the rise and there are certain aspects that we don't yet see as risks.

Most of us are well aware of the differences between mistakes and intentional malicious behaviors. We can find these intentions in real life. Law is a reflection of truth, not the truth itself, and thus greater care of ensuring legislation can handle coordinated incidents of hate and hate speech are helpful. In other words, the intent of the law (universal application) is more important than its technicalities (subjective application) to bring about a universal concept of justice.

The problem with hate is that there is an underlining assumptions that outsiders/"other"/out-groups have lower value and thus deserving of lower status and treatment (It doesn't matter their contributions, service, or much else. Its funny, if you change the environment the assumptions change. Its like walking into a Steven King novel where some mystical fog clouds everyone's rationality.). That is particularly more true when there are racial, religious, and social difference between the hate members and the targets (Degrees of difference can actually be calculated). It is easy to discount others when the rewards of upholding the essential values of the law are lower when compared to following one's social network.

Unfortunately, because clan systems sometimes function as shadow groups in order to help one's own, we sometimes run into a problem of a confounding variables within their decision making. (Confounding is the perceived connection between cause and effect that is mitigated by a another factor.). The assumptions of cause and effect that would normally dictate rationality are often filtered through a maze of personal and group bias so that they no longer reflect reality (i.e. social constructionism of understanding that is different when compared to fact. Its a type of group delusion based on personal bias and lack of exposure to difference)

(These collective outcomes are interesting because if there is an existence of a homogeneous clan that spans a number of institutions i.e rogue-extremist leaning officers and local job recruitment within another institution then we might find through analysis secondary data markers. i.e. hiring bias to in-group members, different forms of justice outcomes, "clickish" and "clannish" social behaviors, and other forms that indicate association through multiple venues of behaviors. 

It would take a while to think of all the ways you could show a coordinated group. through different venues and locations. Such groups intentionally support people within their social circles. We sometimes call this the "good old boy" networks. While it may exist in subtle form in most local towns, there is a point where it crosses a threshold to impact others rights. When its done intentionally with knowledge such groups can become malicious and in turn seen as having malicious intent.)

It should be remember that most atrocities of targeting often set the stage by creating justification for further hate by diminishing the rights and dignity of the targets. As these groups make up stories to help their network it is often directed at lowering the targets and in turn creating more hate through intentional rumor spreading and manipulation of information. Hate is a tool designed to lower, control, and self enrich off of perceived differences. Consider Words That Harm: Defending the Dignity Approach to Hate Speech Regulation

Absolutely forgive, but be mindful that these problems can arise again without better capabilities in handling them. I advocate for a better understanding of how hate limits our potential as a nation through the stifling of human capital. I believe our nation needs all of its young and bright minds engaged and that comes from universal application of law based on our shared values and American beliefs. That applies here, there or anywhere. Its an American value of equality thing! You might not get it, if you have a different understanding of our core purpose of "liberty and justice" as a nation as a people. 

Unemployment Applications Tick Upward, 10.1 million new jobs, Tech Layoffs and Reshoring

232,000 unemployment benefits applications for the week ending May 27 ticked upward. The article US applications for unemployment benefits tick up slightly as labor market remains healthy discusses the concepts and states that the U.S. economy added 10.1 million job openings at a time when unemployment is low (You would think this would create upward pressure on wages?). 

Increase jobs at a time when unemployment is low will likely put some emphasis on the need to increase production as well as find creative ways of lattice supply chain development where U.S. workers are at the highest return on value location in the production system.

Tech industry had some recent lay offs but it appears that at this point the market can still absorb most of those workers. I have a friend in the tech industry that got hit a week or so ago with a lay off notice. He says that the market is global so if he can't find a job in the U.S. he may relocate to Europe. His assessment is that the market is still ok but he would need to be flexible with the type of work he finds.

Unemployment by State. Michigan 3.8%

Metropolitan Area Employment and Unemployment Summary May 31st, 2023

After reviewing the unemployment rates one can also then consider how offshoring is contributing to this 10.1 million job openings. I could go on and on about why that might be happening from a transactional economic approach but it is ultimately a result of changes in the market winds and some of that comes from increased pace of transactions globally through digital transformation.

Thursday, June 1, 2023

Delta County MI Solar Presentation (May 23rd, 2023) : Presentation, Questions, Farm Animals, Tesla and Redundant Electrical Grids!

Tesla: Life and Legacy
Representing the underpinnings of an era.
Most of the meeting was lecture style presentation on solar panel multi use farming. Some of the questions from the attendees related more to ordinances, property values, annexation and contamination. What is interesting is that they brought in a solar expert to help inform people of some of the risks and benefits of solar farming. That helps to create better decision making because residents then have an opportunity to make informed decisions on those things that impact their community and lives. Likewise, you will see people discuss energy diversity and nuclear power. Many of these local issues will likely have parallels in other locations as they pertain to concerns, processes, and discussions of the new emerging Digital Era (i.e. electric cars, nano technology, robotics, space flight, etc.)

We are electrifying our nation and I generally support those efforts because they are renewable and they provide a rich alternative source of energy (They recently became a net positive and will likely increase in their benefit with development). Each community must have an open discussion on what they want and then make a decision as a unit. In that, information must be transparent and forthcoming to make decisions. Democracy works best when people can make informed decisions based on what they think is most helpful for themselves and their society. Lack of accurate information creates problems with effective strategic decision making. 

(From my economics perspectiveI would have liked to see more forecasting of trends within the market. For example, the presentation was on solar itself but what that might look like for this area in 5, 10, 20 years might be difficult but would put a current decision in connection to a strategic line of thinking. There was some referral to the Master Plan. See Maximizing the Influence of Your Forecast)

An idea popped into my head while I was writing this (Its rare but sometimes a descent thought makes its way through the mush into something I can formalize in to actual words. Just after drooling out of the side of my mouth. 🤷). I do believe that some of that energy from solar farms should be designated to the local area/municipalities to create redundancy in the system that protects against future rolling blackouts and/or energy disruptions. 

In a local primary customer approach when issues arise, the residents can rely on local energy supply to make it through the black out/disruption and then revert back over to the regular regional grid when regular power service has been restored (customers wouldn't see a disruption). Likewise, I think some of our local industries might benefit from general grid independence that comes from having local input into some of our local utility approaches (i.e. water treatment, electricity, etc.). 

Preference in local energy before feeding the larger regional grid would be beneficial in general to connecting the benefits directly to the peoples energy security but also to potential reduced costs when one can switch to the lowest cost provider when needed (i.e. solar is a larger sunk initial cost with costs being made up over time, other forms of energy are ongoing cost/benefit. This is also why I want to see the projections.)

Notes: (I only took a few as most was a presentation by MSU prof. I try to be accurate so if there is something that isn't correct please leave a message on the post and I will adjust if it seems to make sense.)

MI. Healthy Carbon Plan that seeks carbon neutrality by 2050.  MI Healthy Climate Plan. There is a lot of interesting stuff in the plan. I only briefed through it so you may want to spend a few minutes and gloss through its main points. These plans influence how policies and strategic initiatives of the state impact choices and decisions to make them realized.

-Investment of solar and batteries and other electric infrastructure. Some of the utilities companies have also created carbon reduction. Grazing and forage production and other options in duel use. Create ordinances that support farming and entrepreneurs.  (I don't mind the farm animals, its the people I'm more concerned about! 😂🙊💨)

-A couple of good questions came forward. One of which is contamination. Referred back to the master plan and where there may be restrictions on solar panels. Someone brought up a good argument about locals receiving some benefit from solar panels. The Prof in this case stated it would be pooled. I think if they reworked these in some way so a percentage of energy was used to help power local businesses and homes it would create greater benefit and salability to local communities. 

-Some discussion on rolling blackouts and some legislation on energy discounts to communities.

-One comm discussed in significant length on farms. 

-Discussion on the value of property when these large farms go in. 

-Resident felt that one person is making all the decisions and its against what people want. 

-Wants people to look at different sources of information. Wants nuclear energy. 

Monday, May 29, 2023

Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity (IPEF) Focuses on Supply Chains

The last few years have 
brought up a number of 
supply chain issues.
Supply chains are important and that comes from the development of treaties, agreements, and other understandings of how to conduct business. With the many different supply chain issues that have arisen over the past few years there is no wonder there is an attempt to improve these pathways. There will be a level of coordination among a number of nations to help improve access to certain resources for all of them.

Consider that manufacturing and nation building requires a level of consistent and steady supplies. Geopolitical issues, COVID, and canal blockage have taught us that certain materials and supplies might better be secured through more manageable networks. (I wrote a few pieces a while ago Adaptive Supply Chains, Clusters and Networks, Supply Chain IntegrationDC Exports)

You may also be interested in the purposes of supply chain enhancements....

The White House states "..revitalize U.S. manufacturing, facilitating the steady supply of the materials, components, and inputs that U.S. companies rely on to compete effectively on the world stage."(Department of Commerce, 2023, para 5)  

Read Substantial Conclusion of Negotiations on Landmark IPEF Supply Chain Agreement

The report further goes on to say the activities of the IPEF are in line with future industry investments, "$400 billion of new private sector investment in major manufacturing projects in sectors like clean energy, semiconductor fabrication, and biotechnology, since President Biden took office. This has resulted in nearly 800,000 new manufacturing jobs and the most robust manufacturing growth since the 1950s."(US Dept. of Commerce, 2023, para 17).

Supply chains can impact our businesses and the competitive position of those businesses. Furthermore, improved supply chains develop resource obtainment and overall adaptability to keep those supply chains functionable. We have learned that disruptions create economic chaos. As an additional point, when supply chains become efficient they also impact the root costs of other aspects of the economy. Export infrastructure is fundamental to strong supply chains.

 IPEF Met in Detroit to discuss to discuss Pillars I, III, IV. You may read more about the three pillars in Press Statement for the Trade Pillar, Clean Economy Pillar, and Fair Economy Pillar (Department of Commerce, 2023).

Pillar I (Trade)

Pillar III (Clean Economy)

Pillar IV (Fair Economy)

Department of Commerce, (May 27th, 2023). Substantial Conclusion of Negotiations on Landmark IPEF Supply Chain Agreement. [Press Release]. https://www.commerce.gov/news/press-releases/2023/05/substantial-conclusion-negotiations-landmark-ipef-supply-chain

Department of Commerce (May 27th, 2023). Press Statement for the Trade Pillar, Clean Economy Pillar, and Fair Economy Pillar. [Press Release] https://www.commerce.gov/news/press-releases/2023/05/press-statement-trade-pillar-clean-economy-pillar-and-fair-economy

Russia and Belarus Giving Away Nukes: How the Business Climate Changes

As we think about the supply chain interruptions that have occurred the past few years we begin to see this split continue to grow around geopolitical issues. Russia has transferred nuclear weapons to Belarus and that is a sign of escalation. As expected, it is condemned. The business climate will change because of these escalatory situations that create new business risks. For the most part, this is expected.

Personally, I think we should be reducing these nuclear stocks across the globe. Spreading them out to other countries creates inherent risks for management. The article below indicates that these weapons are being traded for loyalty (At least that is what I understand.). Its a concerning gesture and if life has taught man anything loyalty that is bought is fleeting. 

It looks like an unwarranted and political based escalation because it is Russia that invaded Ukraine and not the other way around. Everyone seems to have respected Russian territory thus far so there is no threat of this magnitude to justify nuclear dissemination. Perhaps this conflict creates an excuse to redraw the red curtain. 

We as American people will need to think about our competitive capacity and make the changes needed to ensure we maintain a top advanced position. It is more about defensive capability and economic health. We maximize our options when we are in our most competitive state. Whether these situations eventually subside or not, it makes sense to get involved in self-growth.

What kind of business impact might we expect?

1. Supply chain issues between pro communism and pro capitalism.

2. Data theft and hacking will increase.

3. As U.S. adjusts we might see industry strategy changes.

4. Some materials might be more difficult to get forcing either new product designs and/or new mineral sourcing.

5. Defense industry will get a boost. That would include suppliers.

6. In the U.S. we probably would see more collaboration as more important issues take precedence. 

7. Some investment adjustments are likely to occur.

When these things happen and it appears hazardous then it is expected nations will become concerned and adjust.

A scary article....

Lukashenko offers nuclear weapons to nations willing ‘to join the Union State of Russia and Belarus’


Memorial Day 2023

Today is a day of remembrance. We went through a lot of sacrifices as a nation and lost a lot to have those freedoms. Today, I'm going to attend one of the memorial services. 

Sunday, May 28, 2023

Tentative Debt Agreement Obtained for U.S. Government Funding and Debt

This is good news. That doesn't mean that we don't have a problem and more work to do to balance the budget but a big hurdle in stability was found. Not everyone is going to be happy but its a start.