Friday, December 13, 2024

Escanaba City Council Meeting (Dec. 5th, 2024): Everyday Heroes!

This meeing is about everyday heroes that includes officers, people who create visions, and all those working hard to create the best community they can. Heroes take responsibility over their environment and they don't have to be of one type. One can help another person, one invents something, another saves a life, another volunteer, etc.. Anyone can be a hero if they act selflessly and improve their community and society in some way. When poeple take the extra effort they become a type of hero because they are following a value system. Perhaps your a small hero or your a big hero but your a contributor. Research on What Makes a Hero?

December 5th, 2024 Escanaba City Countil Meeting

-Stage (I think I saw it during the Chritmass tree lighting.)

-Kids programs and art projects. Grants. (You might want to raise your kids here. I like the idea of music, art, events and opportunities. Quality of Life is important for economic growth. You can live here with the Christmas parades, events, waterfront, 4 seasons and much more.)

-Officers saving livs and doing good things. 

-Michigan Economic Develoment Corporation (MEDC) Says they have more work in Escanaba than ever before and there are larger projects waiting to happen. Escanaba is becoming a hot emerging market. I personaly believe bringing more entrepreneurs downtown with grants and other information is helpful. The DDA is working on building a stronger downtown. Escanaba DDA 

-Monty helped in create a historical display at center court. Acknowledging the history of the town. 

-Staying ahead of maintenance to save money. It makes sense to do this considering things get costly in crisis after mode. 

-Investment in waterplant. Avoided some fines by adjusting the process. 

-Some highway reconstruction.

-Board openings. 

-Retirement board updated policy.

Dehumanization an On Going Discussion (Thought Experiment)

If you have been following along you will become aware of dehumanization thought experiment. Two stages which include first an institutional default based on ethnocentric social clan affiliations ( in and out group) and the second a dehumanization stage.

In this learning example someone spread rumors and warped the justice institution in a way that put victims at risk and rewarded the perpetrators despite overwhelming evidence and witnesses. Strengthening institutions means accepting other points of view for improvement and not allowing clan affiliations, hate or other isms impact their performance. They belong to all of us.

The victims know they have been dehumanized and the perpetrators know they were able to warp the system because they were protected. They are gleeful with the results and act that way with all the proudness of first class citizens interacting with second class citizens (by practical realized outcomes). 

We are exploring how this can happen in modern times when there should have been checks and balances in a diverse society.

A question might be can victims accept their second class dehumanized position in society (I think they can under certain circumstances of injustice)? If they seek to be treated fairly or help other victims should they be quickly retaliated against to remind them of their "place"? How might dehumanization occur from a step to step process?  

I like to read philosophy sometimes because it is the sciences of the ancients. The culture that this philosophy is not as important as their universal meanings. We can only dehumanize others if we cannot see ourselves accurately and thus are slaves to our bias, bigotries, and need to place oneself above others. The Hidden Meaning of Plato’s Cave Allegory

This seems like an interesting perspective. The author asked if it's possible to study everyday dehumanization? Yes, if they are familiar with the process and can catch and observe in real time as its occurring. That would be rare.


*This is a hypothetical thought experiment for learning purposes. It has a positive end but is designed to explore the more debase behaviors of humanity. It is a theoretical example so take with a grain of salt.

Thursday, December 12, 2024

Stock Strategy Check In December 2024 65.81% Return (Aristotle and Money)

I'm still working on my stock market strategy to see if I can beat out expert investors. This year I built an investment portfolio and began to populate it with new stocks to see if I can formulate a strong strategy. So far I have realized 65.81% return this year. 

While the general portfolio did rise I can say that it was pushed by a couple of strong performers. However, it is not as stable as I would like it to be and so I want to ensure that I'm hedging against various market swings and cycles. 

A few things I learned so far that seem to be working for me (You make your own decisions.)....

-Smaller multiple investments to diversify the portfolio.

-Industries that are expected to grow.

-Review analysts recommendations but review the company fundamentals before selecting.

-Look for market trends and determine how that is going to impact.

-Think suppliers.

There are more things I look at but those are some basics. Do not take this as advice...that is between you and your broker. I'm just saying what I'm doing. I have no broker and more likely to be broke than rich. 😂😵 (I'm not part of the connected class.😭 )

Research and Investment:

There are similarities in research and stock investing related to finding things that others do not see. One might also consider the ability to research companies, industries, and others as using a similar mindset. You may read The Hidden Link Between Scientific Research and Investing

Knowledge and Risk Tolerance:

We also may find that when we start investing our knowledge will change the risk tolerance. It would seem that as we learn about the stock market we feel more comfortable.  Effects of Investment Experience on the Stock Investment Task: The Mediating Role of Risk Perception

How Does My Portfolio Compare (65.81%?

2024 Year to day is 16.2% and 22.15% for the last year. What is the average stock market return?

25% year to date S&P 500 How does the strong stock market performance in 2024 stack up to history?

2023 26.3% There are also some projections for 2025 Average Stock Market Return: A Historical Perspective and Future Outlook

Personally I'm not a big money guy. I think people should do good things with it and real wealth is in health, knowledge, friends and purpose. Money just makes things easier. I'm also not a stock broker and am just writing for the heck of it! No idea if it will continue....


Research Purposes:

I'm also working on a cluster theory so studying stocks helps to determine investor behaviors and animal spirits if the conditions are created for investment rooted in the market and supply/creation capactiy. Once the ball starts to move on a spawing cluster it will likely move fast. Time answers all questions.


"Wealth is for the sake of life, not life for the sake of wealth" Aristotle

Wednesday, December 11, 2024

Philosophizing Justice and Injustice: The Financial and Hidden Costs (Dehumanizing Hypothetical Example)

The following is a discussion on the philosophy of justice applied in a learning example. We can learn improve each generation to continuously reach for our destiny as a people. The sacred purpose was earned from centuries of struggles that flows like a river just below out national consciousness. A river that connects kids to grand parents and grandparents to the founding fathers/mothers. Take not lightly the purpose of justice as it is foundational to economic and social growth.

The Hypothetical Example:

Sometimes we can better see a problem through a learning example meant to illustrate where something is working well and something that could be improved. 

Immaturity and a long pattern of bullying mixed with mental health launched a bigoted network that sought to show their superiority over others, involved children, encouraged targeting, threats/attempted violence and much more based on a cultic perspective. Whistleblowers came forward and were retaliated against and it was ruled to favor/reward the perpetrators (in-group) over victims (out-group). Perpetrators were immune and people have complained about clan preference in outcomes at different times, situations and places.

There may have also been opportunities that came forward to learn from the oopsies and doopsies of biased thinking. People often assume that punishment is the ultimate goal but its only a crude tool. Punishment serves little purpose if people become better (It is a partially useful tool under the right circumstances). The ultimate goal is change, adaptation, improvement and accountability (personal, professional, institutional). When we improve, we learn from our mistakes and when we are accountable, we develop. It is thought experiments like this might help us improve because it helps us see and correct injustices to encourage effectiveness and accuracy.

In this example we might call it an extreme form of injustice because the general rules and laws do not allow for this but still the technicalities of the law were used to undermine trust in the institution and create deep disparities between people. We have checks and balances because we have learned that in countries where legal protections (justice institutions) are weak a path can be created from injustice to collective punishment. We built our nation around freedom and liberties and most people continue to strive toward that end. There are oaths we take and social contracts we have created that should be our northern star.  The Pledge and Other Historical Documents

Different Stakeholders:

Different people will see different things. The victims who had their rights wiped away see injustice, community members may see it as the way things are, the perpetrators gleeful they are treated with such heightened care, clan members as confirmation of their superiority (in this example because they were mediocre sports players once in high school and get jealous, childish and spread rumors.), young officials an introduction to the official and unofficial rules, half of the country might see it as typical pattern, the other half as not a problem, the children will spounge a lesson on how things actually function and how they are expected to act, sociologist fathon a risk that undermines solidarity, a philosopher would be horrified as it represents a sell out to the central philosophical purpose upon which a country exists (democracy goes back hundreds/thousands of years. Justice tens of thousands.), so on and so forth. The statement resonates much further than the initial actors and comes to define some aspects of our society (proof in pudding outcomes).

Moral and Economic Costs: 

There are moral and economic costs associated with injustice. We can think of the lost moral authority when poor behaviors are rewarded and what that could do to an environment when normalized. The rules and laws don't apply the same and people will begin to know that and it will have an impact on performance, economics, and outcomes. One might also bring forward the argument that if the incentives to engage society are not present there could be a long-term human capital and competitive cost. If consistent and blatant enough you could have dehumanization and its generational effects that can weaken the whole.

A Way of Creating Solutions:

We like to think of solutions as some complex thing that requires years of understanding and depth. While implementation needs a level of industry knowledge, we do know that it comes down to how we treat each other. If we treat each other well, fairly, and honestly, we will come to build bonds and trust while if we do the opposite we might come to expect the opposite. This is why the best and brightest should be in roles of importance and career climbers and self-gratifiers left on the sidelines. Our institutions have important roles, and we need the best to run them who can understand the deeper needs of justice and its impact on society. Keep in mind that all human life is precious, and no one should differentiate on race, religion, political affiliation, etc. (It would be seen as illegal by the central laws.)

People often assume that justice has something to do with law, but law is a weaker emulator of its higher order justice. This means that law will be imperfect and therefore needs to be reviewed, adjusted, and applied effectively to inch closer to the ideal of justice. Our world is the world of imperfect application. Our own goal is to lower the gap between what is practical and what is ideal Kants Conception of Justice

Following that dehumanizing thought experiment we may draw from the wisdom of Immanual Kant. It should be remembered that many of our gifted philosophers saw things differently than we see them in everyday hum drum. They are able to switch from the daily distractions to life's deeper meaning through abstractions. You will find shared characteristics in each philosopher and the truths upon which they share their knowledge. Almost all have suffered injustice and know what it means.

Think of the central role of justice to ensuring respect for life and keeping that value central in our decision making. Do you think Immanuel Kant was talking of dehumanization? The importance of justice to society? Are we teaching others the right values? What are the long term consequences if injustice becomes common and there are no backstops? 🤷

"If justice perishes, human life on Earth has lost its meaning." Immanuel Kant


*This is a thought experiment learning purposes example. The end result is positive but we are exploring some of the ideas as they relate to default of justice and dehumanization. Take with a grain of salt as it is theoretical and philosophical at the same time. 

Tuesday, December 10, 2024

Fire Modeling Efforts and the Science of Safety: (Model and Validation)

Creating models is helpful for understanding fire behavior and how best to prevent them. Fire research digs into the "how's" and "why's" of fire behaviors and then seeks to improve training and development. Such models can be used to analyze and predict fire behavior that leads to safer dwelling construction, techniques on fire fighting, and ultimately less loss of lives and property.  Whether you are a firefighter or not you can appreciate how the scientific method is used to make our world a better place. 

You will notice when you read Fire Modeling Development and Validation that the researchers are using technology to analyze fire behaviors. Modeling comes from using prior data to predict behaviors while validation leads to see if such predictions were/are true. There is a method that helps ensure that the results are useful and valid. If one continues to update the model it will get better, more useful and more accurate.

Reading about Scientific Modeling helps in understanding how they work to understand and with luck predict the market. It is like a supported explanation/prediction of how factors interact with each other to create a result (or predict a phenomenon). The more complex the model, the more research that must go into forming that model. Sometimes it can take decades to understand a complex concept.

It is not enough to build a model on prior research, yours or others, but that one must determine whether or not is is accurate and does what it says its going to do. This will require a level of validation. You may read about Model Validation. When conducting validation one reviews their data and ensures that the explanation mirrored as closely as possible what actually did happen (reality and abstraction). 

Firefighting is becoming more of a science type industry. As we deal with things like global warming, environmental change, large forest fires (i.e. California) you will find that building models of where and when such fires are going ot occur. As a sort of extrapolation we may find that someday with sensors we will be able to predict most fires before they start. They also tell us the best ways to put out specific fires under spreading conditions.

*In case your intersted I'm also looking for about $50K for a fire department to start a training program and buy some treaining equipment and supplies. Thinking about a 4-6 Week fire safety and training course for anyone who wants to take one.  It might include CPR, basic fire awareness, fire prevention, safety, etc. and open the equipment up to area departments. Beyond raising fire awareness in the area one might also be able to provide introductory training for recruitment and induction into departments. If they can pass a basic one with a certificate they are likely to have the skills to train as a working FF. Thus, if you have some corporate money leave me a message and I will point you to a non-profit fire department. Its an idea. Tax deductible!

Monday, December 9, 2024

Workforce Planning: Grooming and Hiring for Market Trends

Workforce planning is essentially putting the best people you can attract in the positions that create the most positive impact/value for the organization. Precisely who has the capacity to do that is somewhat of a mix between market projection and understanding internal organizational resources. Attracting the best and brightest from the market helps if you have developed a thought-out workforce plan and know what you need.

Hiring from the outside is one idea while grooming from within is another. Consider that many organizations have hidden talent right in front of their face and they don't always see it (i.e. the underperformer). Such individuals may not have been challenged, provided the necessary resources or work in the quite quitting mindset. 

To me, when I want to improve an organizations innovation I might hire from the outside, when I want to further enhance certain organizational strengths and create efficiencies I might hire and train from the inside (It depends on what is to be accomplished). How one puts that percentage mix is dependent on stability and growth needs of the company. 

All workforce planning should be around the key strategic objectives that have developed with careful thought and reflection (It's your human capital road map!). If the organization wants to compete in a selected market they need to hire people with industry competitive skills and/or utilize existing human capital resources or develop new ones from training/education (Market aligned education and training can help). 

To adapt to the future means one must understand market changes and shifts based on the present and past (To create a pattern and trend lines.) Consider reading about market projections, industry changes, emerging technologies, socio-political affairs to better obtain a well-rounded environmental scan (Interesting article on environmental scans). 

You may then think of how to break those trend lines down into a few essential factors that help hire proactively before the skills become more expensive and difficult to obtain. Hiring after or during a market change is challenging. If you have the right people and have a good idea on what is coming next you can lead the market.

Workforce planning: How to future-proof your organization

Fix the National Debt: 7 Ideas that Might Make Sense

As a nation we have been discussing financial debt and the deficit. A few ideas bubbled up on what might work in helping minimize the costs.  

1. Reducing expenditures

2. Increasing output of expenditures

3. Raising revenue through investment, tax reform.

4. Reorganizing, creating efficiencies, maximizing performance impact of institutions

5. Enhancing human capital, technology productivity and innovative/entepreneurial incentives.

6. Maximizing trade through manufacturing and exportation.

7. Bi-partisan collaboration around key objectives

Committe for Responsible Federal Budget indicates that the current debt level is unsustainable and there will need to be a reduced or otherwise it will begin to impact quality of life. This can happen when people pay more for increasing costs of services through taxes and other public resources. Thus, reducing and improving the functioning of institutions and departments might lead to greater long term national health. Fix the National Debt

(As a side note, I have been working on a rapid innovation cluster theory that has as a major component quality of life QOL considerations as a necessary framework for human capital development and future investments. i.e. CEOs that actually like to live and impact their communities in positive ways.)