Sunday, May 14, 2023

U.S. Sales Revenue Rises on Sales to China. Developing A Stronger Economic Position

My shamefully sad sad attempt at
blog art in 5 minutes or less. 😰
Don't do graffiti! 
It was there already.
There is some interesting economic news in terms of improving exports in some business sectors. As the U.S. consumer spending declines/fluctuates revenue in sales increased for some U.S. businesses selling to Asia. China is reopening its market and that means they have demand and need for American made products. The U.S. is one major supplier and should maneuver itself as a supplier of products to Asia as a general strategy to maintain an economic foothold.

As a strategy the U.S. should maximize its global position by thinking about internal development that leads to external performance. We see some of that with infrastructure development and increased emphasis on technology/innovation. Maximizing economic benefits include manufacturing in the U.S. and then sending products overseas to places like Asia, Europe, South America, etc. in a way that returns revenue back to investors, U.S. govt in taxes and people in rises in quality/standard of living. Being at the center of the supply chain makes a big difference in the overall ability to maximize revenue outcomes. 

One could also say being at the center of intellectual, labor, education, research, etc. (Which I loosely tie into a human capital concept as factors of influence) has its advantages as well. The U.S. could invent and make products within the country by understanding these issues and then sell those products globally. A couple of ideas based in support of a not finished economic theory. Sustainable Reinvest, Interactivity of Hubs, Free Trade and Super Hub, Network Development, The Working System, Economic Platforms in History

While the U.S. has what is called a labor shortage with unemployment it also has some, like all nations, labor misalignment. It means that it will shift in the upcoming Digital Era in order to adjust with those jobs and get people working in fields that will draw the most value. That is projected to be within the next five years and the country should ensure its institutions are prepared to fundamentally change to meet this new need.

Keep in mind that even with labor shortages we can invest in improvements to labor productivity and creativity/research. There is new technology and tools that can help move jobs of little importance to automation and get people retrained to work in areas where their skills are maximized (Notice the need to find what people are good at and help them enter careers they can do well. That is where the education system helps.)

This is a pretty good article to read.

Lucas, A. (May 14th, 2023) China’s recovery lifts U.S. companies’ sales as domestic consumers pull back spending. CNBC. https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/14/china-sales-help-starbucks-yum-mgm-disney-tapestry.html

Police Complaints and Accountability: How The Public Can Help Them Help Themselves

One of the worst situations can occur when one's social networks and distorted personalities influence local law enforcement and accountability through various interactions and behaviors. While these behaviors were somewhat grotesque there was little to no attempt to ensure overall accuracy of beliefs and actions. I am at a little loss of words and sort of uttered "Oh my."  and "Can't be".

While this is speculative at the moment I do believe eventually I might be able to show there has been disparate treatment to many different people throughout the local justice system. The behaviors I have seen just didn't start overnight or in this particular situation. They were learned over time and through careful coordination in what appears an attempt to circumvent the intent of laws.

 You may want to review the United States Conference of Mayors published in 2020 a discussion the work 'Transparency and Accountability to Reinforce Constitutional Policing' Its a pretty good article. You also find that there are others out there who believe we should have policing that is designed around certain principles, values and laws.

One of the things the report states is a hinderance is the process of launching an officer complaint. They say that departments try and make these policies difficult in a way that deters filing and doesn't accept even videos of incidents because they are anonymous. There may be chain of custody issues with being anonymous but they do help in understanding and creating more leads. 

There have been concerns in many areas that because some communities don't feel protected that reporting crimes will have a retaliatory effect. I think people are afraid of some departments and that was intentionally created by some officers. The power over dynamic limits the ability to catch more crimes through lack of engagement (This I believe I have seen a few times. If you say something critical of someone's bad behavior some of these officers react and gang up on those trying to protect the public from misconduct. This may be a silencing tactic used in clan type enforcements. Alternatively, it could also just be bad practice. Or I guess alternatively there could be an alternative explanation.)

The other issue the report brings up is the purging of documents and issues when they relate to substantiated complaints. I think that is bad news if that happens. While 80% of officers are awesome and do good stuff there are some toxic souls out there that do bad stuff. A predator is a predator and sometimes they gravitate to professions of power. I think it would service this community and many other communities if such records are not destroyed but better utilized. They can be used to improve training and track back crimes if they have occurred. Our current system is a poor design (I think there is a way to work this so even unions might agree if crafted wisely. Maybe not.

You see these departments wobble in their attempts to maintain the balance between their loyalties to our Constitutional values and their loyalties to their social networks. While they navigate clan or country issues they also create victims along the way through allowing some crimes and misapplication of law. Their perspective becomes jaded and in turn those who are committing crimes are allowed to continue to commit crimes.  

When they talk about Justice I think they are confused on what that means. The version they use is an older one where some people in our society are devaluated and others are artificially inflated. The law should never work on the behalf of certain groups and even doubly more important when they shared ethnocentric perspectives harmful to others. The law is for everyone and it should not give a free hand to some engaging in behaviors and then not a free hand those who have an issue with it (See RF).

Because I believe some of these department heads (In one case I think they were involved in the promotion of disinformation.) are aware but are powerless to deal with this issue I think if they had a stronger complaint section. If you notice if you check out their pages there is no place to complain when officers engage in misconduct and that brings complaints right back to senior leadership that has little objectivity (Remember they protected some while crimes were committed and misused those laws to try and cleanse their community). Thus, we cannot say its a truly objective (I didn't see anywhere you could complain maybe you can find it.)

My recommendation is that to best uncover these group of rogue officers is to have more transparency of complaints. Let there be something on their webpage where they can submit a simple complaint and in turn that goes to an objective third party (That would have to be defined. Perhaps a citizens group with no active law enforcement parties involved. Of course department leadership should be aware as well but I feel that unless it is urgent it is important for someone outside the departments to review the complaints to make sure there are no concerns with retaliation and/or manipulation.). When issues and patterns are found they not only inform the department head in writing but also a state counterpart (We can't have this stuff just ignored. They are contributing factors in other victims and crimes.). 

Complaints are important because they tell you a lot about how individual officers act and behave when they are not being watched. It also ensures greater transparency of these issues at the top of the department that must decide where their loyalties lay in terms of serving the public or to their fellow officers. A complaint threshold and/or gross violation issue would launch an investigation. 

The other thing these departments could do is report the general aggregate findings on their web page. For example, the amount of accusations of lying by officers coded (use a coded system to protect identities), ethnic intimidation, civil rights, hate crimes, helpful, polite, took extra effort, quick to respond, theft, etc. We would have to look up some things that are reported publicly and their recommendations. Likewise, we also want good officers to be highlighted so we want to accept as many praise oriented comments/complaints in order to reward those officers over time as an aspect of performance and improve training to emulate prosocial behaviors. In this case, it looks like they could help themselves by being more transparent with complaints of poor behavior and then acting impartially on those complaints to rectify. 

The goal is to make our departments and officers the best they can be. That is difficult if they work in toxic environments where certain rights are mocked and dehumanized. While I don't believe any department does this intentionally I do believe that toxic officers spread their false information and their leadership is relatively powerless to do much about it even though these behaviors are dangerous. Its an issue of integrity of stated goals and ensuring the shadow system isn't primary over the official system.

Maybe in the next article we can discuss where to get access to existing complaints and whether these departments are transparent or make these this information hard to obtain. We can then think of the process of asking for these documents (If its even possible to get them because I'm pretty sure many people would not want them released for a variety of reasons.

Just so there is no confusion. I'm 100% in support of police and 110% in support of civil rights. Sometimes we have great police but the systems they work in don't always follow normal management protocol. For example, police complaint feedback is just as important as customer feedback. Providing a high quality service to the public is important and that requires consistently adjusting processes, capabilities, and systems to higher levels. Its the politics of it all that sort of mucks it up. We want to rid our city streets of crime and we want our departments to work on the behalf of the American people and not any particular race, or religion, or ideology. We have to create a better system. I say that as a person who really respects the profession of policing and has on many occasions helped them out (I know that they don't understand the depths of that and the depths of that effort. Now we must correct them). More than most people would have ever helped them out. I'm helping them out now again but in a way in which a friend helps a friend when they loose their sense of purpose. The next step is theirs.

In Memory of Bill and Karen. 

Saturday, May 13, 2023

City of Escanaba: City Council Regular Meeting (May 04, 2023): Civic Engagement Up, Trust is U.P., Democracy Strengthens!

1509-1511 by Raphael. 
Philosophy and Governance
The meeting was an interesting one and while it seemed on the surface sort of run of the mill you have to sort of understand the context and why that is a good thing. Most importantly you will notice that they have a relatively pleasant meeting and a lot of things get done right away. People are prepared for the meetings with information and for the most part everyone has been professional. Its sort of the way you want things to be as a shared perception of community health. 

You will also notice the improved civic engagement and that is a wonderful sign of the health of democracy. Ok....this is good kharma at play I think. 

Notes: I don't need to write these out because someone actually does it. Very nice system. May 4th, 2023 Escanaba City Council Meeting

 -Library appreciation.

-Budget approved.

-Thank you for OPRA designation. Will participate in community.

-Property condemnation.

-Garden and land. I like this idea of a history garden. We are a special people and should have something that tells our history. Just don't forget the little people. An artifact to small business owners and local workers would be nice. Likewise, include the Native Americans. I think the speaker does a great job with flowers and history in the area. Enhance Escanaba Agreement. 

Trust and Civic Engagement

-Apparently people want to be so involved that they need a new process to vet the resumes. We are a resilient people and when we know we can change something for the better, we get involved. This is fabulous or the community and can really get people excited about working with government (Contrast that with entities where people are less engaged and/or engaged for the wrong reasons. Trust is important. We kind of see that play out at our county meetings. I'm not saying they are right or not right I'm just saying it looks like a trust issue. That may also impact another area.

Governments work best when people are engaged and trying to accomplish great things for the community (Likely the same for the nation as well.). We should have people involved because that is what makes it all possible. That is also a truer form of democratic involvement where citizens vote with their engagement. You may want to read Rethinking Civic Engagement as well as an interesting publication by the World Bank on trust and civic engagement measurements 'Building Trust in Government through Citizen Engagement'

This concept of trust and engagement is important. If we look at available information about Escanaba during a higher time of engagement we might find that the city is also growing with investments. It isn't a 1-to-1 economic relationship but I believe them to be associated. They likely influence each other.  Healthy democracies draw in interest around shared goals and in turn they create greater engagement. (In my theory engagement and transactions are associated. One being the financial quantitative measurement of some form of the other. Positive engagement and increased transactions lead to economic prosperity through increased activity. The same can be said for declining entities and the loss in civic engagement. In this case, they have a community and they are engaging for a reasons. Let us just sit back and watch.)

Discipline is What Gets You There. Fitness and Life Motivation

Its early in the AM in California and the sun is just coming up. Today is day like all other days except something is different. The world looks a little more bright. With discipline and effort we achieve our goals. If you want to stay in shape get out there and jog, walk, hit the gym, climb that mountain, out fence your opponent, swim past your team, and do all the things that make you...you!

I have a fitness trainer license so if you need a little help hit me up. 

Friday, May 12, 2023

Talking to An Intellectual Who Was Once an Activist

Here I am sitting across the table from someone who was once an activist. Older, grey hairs, Mexican descent and now working in a corporate job. She talked about how she was an idealist and how during her youth she advocated for woman's rights and the right to be treated fairly in employment. During her time and in her community women were not always treated well and she got tired of it so she took action.

As this conversation blossomed, I brought forward the idea that people change and they do so over time. For example, I used to be 100% for police and how they could do no wrong under any circumstance. Then I learned over the years that its not that simple and some members do wrong things and they are protected from the consequences of those wrong things. Society suffers.

The conversation continued and we further found that maybe the things we advocated for were not important to society even though they were important to us. A fair society where all members are valued is not the goal of most people, all politicians or all the people we meet in our daily lives. Most just want what they can touch and feel today. Those problems are seen as problems for other people to deal with at another time.

We are wrong for assuming that people can be better simply by raising awareness of certain societal ills. While women did eventually have full rights and eventually all Americans will be treated with justice, It just takes so long and so many people to make us realize that change can be a good thing. Most can't see beyond today let alone 10 years down the road.

We can't change some things and we can't help people see things they don't understand or don't care about.  Its like distracting them away from their favorite tv show. What we can change is the very small things that we can touch, feel and provide guidance on. We cannot tell people to have values and we cannot tell them to do what is right and just.

Society isn't necessarily looking for justice or fairness. Its looking for something in the here and now. A quick fix to the long term problems. A pill that eases the pain. So we have to accept that we have no power to change at this time and there is no will at the present to change it even if we somehow recognized the need for change. We have the option to solve it, or give up on it. Its a choice. Just like everything else.

I will tell you what I feel. While most people just sort of floated through life without taking responsibility over anything, people like us moved the needle. Just a little. We mirrored back what other people couldn't see. We pushed society to be better then it thought it could be and I think it can help create a better tomorrow. Our nation needs more people like us who cared beyond filling our pockets. Thank God for people like us! Thats how I feel at the moment. 

As a light Right Republican, I think advocacy is just gravy, good thing, and helps our nation grow. It is something that helps us think and make adjustments. As long as that advocacy is done with good kharma and in good intent then it will be a positive contributor to our historical development. In our great great grandparents time they abolished slavery, maybe in our time (with the help of big data) we can abolish the leftover legacy of that kind of thinking.

As Americans We Need Better Values: The Younger Generation Has It!

What I love about the younger generation is that have values that many of the older Americans struggle to earn. For example, younger people believe in certain principles and they want to make the world a better place. Older Americans also want to make the world a better place but have gotten into their routines and failed to change with the times. One generation and their old crusty arguments are blocking the new generation.

Values are important and that is the one thing we can pass on from generation to generation. Each one will have their own problems. For example, the eras of the past were the fall of the Soviet Union, September 11th, Iraq and Afghan wars etc. Prior to that it was Vietnam. Before that it was WWII. Our current generation faces systemic issues that limit their human capital, Capital Riot type extremism and the need to compete in an era of hyper partisanship. 

For the most part we are doing the right thing when it comes to creating a stronger economic platform. That is needed to achieve our goals and allow us a good shot at bumping our system upward. We are not doing the right thing when it comes to applying our laws fairly and justly. There is also an attempt to grow the system and balance the budget but politics gets in the way. There is misalignment between could and done.

What I like about this generation is they are freer than prior generations and they are really highly skilled and capable. We as a nation let them down because we didn't put ourselves in the best place we can to give them the highest opportunities on the global market. We are working on it now, but we are behind the ball. That comes from poor leadership on both sides. That is not specific to who is or isn't a leader right now. It was decades in the making. 

This is the generation with the chance to revise. Older generations are still working off of the sins of the past and can't correct them to help this generation in a way in which they truly can compete at their best. They are a diverse group and they want to create and have opportunities. That won't happen unless we treat each of theme as special and part of the whole. It makes no difference their race or religion. Those were the arguments for the worst of us. This is a generation that I believe will redirect us toward our loftier national goals and encourage momentum toward a universal and free democracy (Our next stage of national development that is much more global aligned).

I'm a light Right Republican. I respect Light Left Democrats. (Critical Thinkers)

Technology Hubs Can Create "Smart Cities" (Escanaba and Gladstone)

There are some Technology Hubs being developed across the country. Escanaba and Gladstone are in ideal locations for some of this Tech Hub investment.  We have everything we need to attract and retain new start-ups and talent. Its a vacation area with new tourist coming, has received significant international investment into the papermill, and it is in a place where its downtown could use some work but is affordable.

Obtaining resources like this as well as attracting younger entrepreneurs can do wonders for revamping the downtown at a time when people are moving into the area and government is interested in technology. Going from A to Z and convincing government officials that this place is the place to try something new is difficult at best. I guess we just get used to doing things the same way and expecting different results.

For the most part, I like what the administration is doing. While I might argue this way or that way is better we do need to do more for the middle class and small business. We are big business heavy and we need younger and fresher ideas. 

U.S. aims to turn middle-American cities into new tech hubs with $500 million investment according to Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo

-The Department of Commerce announced a notice of funding opportunity, or NOFO, for the Regional Technology and Innovation Hub program, known as Tech Hubs.

-$15 million in planning grants for Tech Hubs.

Biden-Harris Administration Launches First Tech Hubs Funding Opportunity