Wednesday, May 20, 2020

Federal Reserve Minutes May 20th, 2020

If you are seeking a complete complete copy of the Federal Reserve Minutes Bloomberg did a great job HERE.  Much of what the Federal Reserve is doing is to keep money and credit flowing as much as possible. It is more of an easing action. It should be noted that economic changes are based in many ways on buyer changes and perception of investors. While COVID was devastating in many ways it is also forced us to go through a period of adaptation and thinking about how to navigate change. The Federal Reserve provides a number of tools to avoid having things "lock down" because of credit. What we do see is that capital and many products are not moving because of temporary changes in work situations and demand. People are likely going to start working again soon based on necessity and that may free up and get financial systems moving again.

As long as we think of this as a short-term crisis the economy will bounce back when things get back to "normal". The longer the disease sticks around and we have changed our way of life the more likely it will have a longer term impact on our economy.

A couple of notes from the minutes:  Discussion on unemployment, improved real residential investments, volatility in trading, dollar as safe haven, tight commercial lending, large banks ok, business activity and investment decline, low energy decline, concerns temporary layoffs could become permanent, foreign economy decline, continue to purchase Treasury securities and agency RMBS and CMBS in the amounts needed to support smooth market functioning, etc...


Governor Whitmer Discusses Evacuation of Midland Flooding

Governor Whitmer discusses the need for FEMA help and ensuring that people move to safe ground. She indicates that it is a 500 year flood. One has to wonder if these types of natural events would become more common. We built the dam to harness the water and without regular upgrading and maintenance we might expect this to happen from time to time. Mother nature sometimes is very fickle and overwhelms our systems. She hopes FEMA will be able to provide help more quickly. Hearts and prayers to people and their properties.


Congressional Rep. Bill Huizenga Speaks on $3 Trillion Stimulus

Congressional Rep. Bill Huizenga  discusses his concerns over extra spending that isn't directly related to COVID in the new 3 T Stimulus package. There was some discussion on seeing the effects of the last stimulus before passing another one. He is interested in HEROES Act of 2020 on April 3rd  to help first responders through a federal tax holiday. 


White House Press Secretary Briefing Kayleigh McEnany (05-20-2020)

Lots of information this about current events and different things that are going on at the White House. Some of the questions were important and some not so much. However, there was some discussion on bringing back manufacturing. I guess that is where my attention was drawn. You may want to watch.

Two Dams Fail Near Midland Michigan Threatening to Put The Entire Town Under 9' Water

Our infrastructure and environment are increasingly becoming important in order to protect life and property. We know that there are weather spoofs from time to time but the entire state has high water. It is important to invest in our infrastucture and ensure we are keeping natural disasters in mind when designing city plans.


Tuesday, May 19, 2020

White House Briefing-Red Tape, Executive Order on Economic Development

The briefing indicates the government will be cutting unnecessary regulations in economic recovery plans. Some regulations have benefit and some don't. Those that don't have a significant benefit should be streamlined and re-thunk. What I liked about what was said concerning cutting regulations doesn't mean being unsafe. Our environment is highly important to both our lives and the business.

The faster we innovate as a nation the less waste we have on our environment. So I'm all for innovation that cuts waste and improves functionality. In the business world, we often add more hoops to not only justify our positions but also to expand our control over a larger system. Therefore, "right sizing" regulations helps improve the business environment which in turn has an impact on our lives (and wages). It is important to make sure we do this is an environmentally conscious manner so as to improve our productivity, mental health, physical health, and our own species sustainability.

There are plenty of other things being discussed in the video such as minority employment improvement and trade deals with partner nations. Canada and Mexico rely on our economy and we rely on theirs in many ways. Creating deals that help all of us grow together can make a big difference in development a stronger North American system. From a cost and logistics standpoint we are in close proximity with each other and share similarities in global competitive interests.

I took the liberty of reviewing and highlighting the Executive Order on Regulatory Relief to Support Economic Recovery below. What you will see is that the government wants to remove unnecessary regulations in a way that create more efficiency in government as well as encourage a pro-growth business environment. There are a couple of key points to make as they relate to 1. Reducing the cost and economic burden of inefficient government and 2. The development of business; especially small business.

In the first case, we know that government does cost money. In one philosophical vantage point government should be effective and efficient so as to save tax payer money. The size of government is not truly the essential issue. It is the effectiveness of the policies and the total reach of the system. Thus, innovative governments are more flexible while they still protect consumers, American health, and environment through proper legislative guidance and effective enforcement. In essence, government does have an oversight role but it is often best done through voluntary self-regulation while using saved resources to enforce on "bad" actors.

Furthermore, we can see that there is a push to have departments suggest reduction in red tape and, when applicable, make them permanent. There will be people who will weigh in through the legislative branch and debate where, what, when and how but that is a natural part of the process of ensuring decisions are vetted to a wide group of stakeholders. However, if no one proposes solutions they won't get seen and they won't get discussed or approved/rejected. Most organizations should go through this exercise every once in a while just to make sure they are "cutting the fat". In Transaction Cost Economics it is the efficiency and effectiveness of the inner workings of a system that determines its competitive abilities on the market. If it no longer is efficient or effective it collapses like the Soviet Union. Likewise in companies it is at times also beneficial to review the efficiency and effectiveness of their processes every 5 years or so just to make sure things are doing what they were intended to do. However, in government sometimes we take a lot longer to adjust things because of wide vested interest and the perception that government isn't about profit. It may not be about profit but is should be about minimizing wasted resources so that more Americans can keep a higher paycheck, the investment environment improves that leads to more obs, and our government has a feedback loop on efficient and effective management (i.e. innovation). If someone proposes an idea that would save money and improve the process we may have a fiduciary duty to the American people to take a good look at it.  If done right could be a win win for businesses and the employees they hire (In a Utopian sort of way).

Read the order below and draw your own conclusions......



Signed May 19th, 2020

Executive Order on Regulatory Relief to Support Economic Recovery

In December 2019, a novel coronavirus known as SARS-CoV-2 (“the virus”) was first detected in Wuhan, Hubei Province, People’s Republic of China, causing an outbreak of the disease COVID-19, which has now spread globally.  The Secretary of Health and Human Services declared a public health emergency on January 31, 2020, under section 319 of the Public Health Service Act (42 U.S.C. 247d), in response to COVID-19.  In Proclamation 9994 of March 13, 2020 (Declaring a National Emergency Concerning the Novel Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Outbreak), I declared that the COVID-19 outbreak in the United States constituted a national emergency, beginning March 1, 2020.
I have taken sweeping action to control the spread of the virus in the United States, including by suspending entry of certain foreign nationals who present a risk of transmitting the virus; implementing policies to accelerate acquisition of personal protective equipment and bring new diagnostic capabilities to laboratories; and pressing forward rapidly in the search for effective treatments and vaccines.  Our States, tribes, territories, local communities, health authorities, hospitals, doctors and nurses, manufacturers, and critical infrastructure workers have all performed heroic service on the front lines battling COVID-19.  Executive departments and agencies (agencies), under my leadership, have helped them by taking hundreds of administrative actions since March, many of which provided flexibility regarding burdensome requirements that stood in the way of implementing the most effective strategies to stop the virus’s spread.
The virus has attacked our Nation’s economy as well as its health.  Many businesses and non-profits have been forced to close or lay off workers, and in the last 8 weeks, the Nation has seen more than 36 million new unemployment insurance claims.  I have worked with the Congress to provide vital relief to small businesses to keep workers employed and to bring assistance to those who have lost their jobs.  On April 16, 2020, I announced Guidelines for Opening Up America Again, a framework for safely re-opening the country and putting millions of Americans back to work.
Just as we continue to battle COVID-19 itself, so too must we now join together to overcome the effects the virus has had on our economy.  Success will require the efforts not only of the Federal Government, but also of every State, tribe, territory, and locality; of businesses, non-profits, and houses of worship; and of the American people.  To aid those efforts, agencies must continue to remove barriers to the greatest engine of economic prosperity the world has ever known:  the innovation, initiative, and drive of the American people.
By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, it is hereby ordered as follows:
Section 1.  Policy.  It is the policy of the United States to combat the economic consequences of COVID-19 with the same vigor and resourcefulness with which the fight against COVID-19 itself has been waged.  Agencies should address this economic emergency by rescinding, modifying, waiving, or providing exemptions from regulations and other requirements that may inhibit economic recovery, consistent with applicable law and with protection of the public health and safety, with national and homeland security, and with budgetary priorities and operational feasibility.  They should also give businesses, especially small businesses, the confidence they need to re-open by providing guidance on what the law requires; by recognizing the efforts of businesses to comply with often-complex regulations in complicated and swiftly changing circumstances; and by committing to fairness in administrative enforcement and adjudication.
Sec2.  Definitions.  (a)  “Emergency authorities” means any statutory or regulatory authorities or exceptions that authorize action in an emergency, in exigent circumstances, for good cause, or in similar situations.
(b)  “Agency” has the meaning given in section 3502 of title 44, United States Code.
(c)  “Administrative enforcement” includes investigations, assertions of statutory or regulatory violations, and adjudications by adjudicators as defined herein.
(d)  “Adjudicator” means an agency official who makes a determination that has legal consequence, as defined in section 2(d) of Executive Order 13892 of October 9, 2019 (Promoting the Rule of Law Through Transparency and Fairness in Civil Administrative Enforcement and Adjudication), for a person, except that it does not mean the head of an agency, a member of a multi-member board that heads an agency, or a Presidential appointee.
(e)  “Pre-enforcement ruling” has the meaning given it in section 2(f) of Executive Order 13892.
(f)  “Regulatory standard” includes any requirement imposed on the public by a Federal regulation, as defined in section 2(g) of Executive Order 13892, or any recommendation, best practice, standard, or other, similar provision of a Federal guidance document as defined in section 2(c) of Executive Order 13892.
(g) “Unfair surprise” has the meaning given it in section 2(e) of Executive Order 13892.
Sec3.  Federal Response.  The heads of all agencies are directed to use, to the fullest extent possible and consistent with applicable law, any emergency authorities that I have previously invoked in response to the COVID-19 outbreak or that are otherwise available to them to support the economic response to the COVID-19 outbreak.  The heads of all agencies are also encouraged to promote economic recovery through non-regulatory actions.
Sec4.  Rescission and waiver of regulatory standards.  The heads of all agencies shall identify regulatory standards that may inhibit economic recovery and shall consider taking appropriate action, consistent with applicable law, including by issuing proposed rules as necessary, to temporarily or permanently rescind, modify, waive, or exempt persons or entities from those requirements, and to consider exercising appropriate temporary enforcement discretion or appropriate temporary extensions of time as provided for in enforceable agreements with respect to those requirements, for the purpose of promoting job creation and economic growth, insofar as doing so is consistent with the law and with the policy considerations identified in section 1 of this order.
Sec5.  Compliance assistance for regulated entities.  (a)  The heads of all agencies, excluding the Department of Justice, shall accelerate procedures by which a regulated person or entity may receive a pre-enforcement ruling under Executive Order 13892 with respect to whether proposed conduct in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, including any response to legislative or executive economic stimulus actions, is consistent with statutes and regulations administered by the agency, insofar as doing so is consistent with the law and with the policy considerations identified in section 1 of this order.
Pre‑enforcement rulings under this subsection may be issued without regard to the requirements of section 6(a) of Executive Order 13892.
(b)  The heads of all agencies shall consider whether to formulate, and make public, policies of enforcement discretion that, as permitted by law and as appropriate in the context of particular statutory and regulatory programs and the policy considerations identified in section 1 of this order, decline enforcement against persons and entities that have attempted in reasonable good faith to comply with applicable statutory and regulatory standards, including those persons and entities acting in conformity with a pre-enforcement ruling.
(c)  As a result of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, the Department of Health and Human Services, including through the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and other agencies have issued, or plan to issue in the future, guidance on action suggested to stem the transmission and spread of that disease.  In formulating any policies of enforcement discretion undersubsection (b) of this section, an agency head should consider a situation in which a person or entity makes a reasonable attempt to comply with such guidance, which the person or entity reasonably deems applicable to its circumstances, to be a rationale for declining enforcement under subsection (b) of this section.  Non-adherence to guidance shall not by itself form the basis for an enforcement action by a Federal agency.
Sec6.  Fairness in Administrative Enforcement and AdjudicationThe heads of all agencies shall consider the principles of fairness in administrative enforcement and adjudication listed below, and revise their procedures and practices in light of them, consistent with applicable law and as they deem appropriate in the context of particular statutory and regulatory programs and the policy considerations identified in section 1 of this order.
(a)  The Government should bear the burden of proving an alleged violation of law; the subject of enforcement should not bear the burden of proving compliance.
(b)  Administrative enforcement should be prompt and fair.
(c)  Administrative adjudicators should be independent of enforcement staff.
(d)  Consistent with any executive branch confidentiality interests, the Government should provide favorable relevant evidence in possession of the agency to the subject of an administrative enforcement action.
(e)  All rules of evidence and procedure should be public, clear, and effective.
(f)  Penalties should be proportionate, transparent, and imposed in adherence to consistent standards and only as authorized by law.
(g)  Administrative enforcement should be free of improper Government coercion.
(h)  Liability should be imposed only for violations of statutes or duly issued regulations, after notice and an opportunity to respond.
(i)  Administrative enforcement should be free of unfair surprise.
(j)  Agencies must be accountable for their administrative enforcement decisions.
Sec7.  Review of Regulatory Response.  The heads of all agencies shall review any regulatory standards they have temporarily rescinded, suspended, modified, or waived during the public health emergency, any such actions they take pursuant to section 4 of this order, and other regulatory flexibilities they have implemented in response to COVID-19, whether before or after issuance of this order, and determine which, if any, would promote economic recovery if made permanent, insofar as doing so is consistent with the policy considerations identified in section 1 of this order, and report the results of such review to the Director of the Office of Management and Budget, the Assistant to the President for Domestic Policy, and the Assistant to the President for Economic Policy.
Sec8.  Implementation.  The Director of the Office of Management and Budget, in consultation with the Assistant to the President for Domestic Policy and the Assistant to the President for Economic Policy, shall monitor compliance with this order and may also issue memoranda providing guidance for implementing this order, including by setting deadlines for the reviews and reports required under section 7 of this order.
Sec9 General Provisions.  (a)  Nothing in this order shall be construed to impair or otherwise affect:
(i)   the authority granted by law to an executive department or agency, or the head thereof; or
(ii)  the functions of the Director of the Office of Management and Budget relating to budgetary, administrative, or legislative proposals.
(b)  This order shall be implemented consistent with applicable law and subject to the availability of appropriations.
(c)  Notwithstanding any other provision in this order, nothing in this order shall apply to any action that pertains to foreign or military affairs, or to a national security or homeland security function of the United States (other than procurement actions and actions involving the import or export of non-defense articles and services).
(d)  This order is not intended to, and does not, create any right or benefit, substantive or procedural, enforceable at law or in equity by any party against the United States, its departments, agencies, or entities, its officers, employees, or agents, or any other person.