Tuesday, August 16, 2022

Cheney's Defeat: She may find solid footing somewhere else.

Cheney lost her primaries so that is going to create some difficulties for those Republicans that are not necessary Trump supporters. Before you get all upset, I'm talking more from an observational and sociological perspective. Step back and sort of look at the mechanics of it all.

She was a challenger of Trump within the Republican Party. She stood as an outlier and Republican voters made a choice that the challenge will not be rewarded within their party (I respect her bravery and fortitude). 

That could also mean that the party turned further Right and has an enforcement mechanism for those who disagree with current political trajectory (You don't have to agree or disagree to understand.)

Just take note and pay attention. 

My two questions are 1.) Will the Republican Party turn further Right and 2.) will Cheney gain footing somewhere else to reemerge as a leading figure (Foresight and hindsight are two different things)?

Let us say the Republican party turns further Right based on the initial coordination of Trump supporters (I'm not making a judgement call here. Just pondering the possibilities.). That might outstrip a large portion of the other Republican base (Maybe not but it could be a risk to the party if internal decision making veers too quickly Right. Its more of a mechanic and how we learn social expectations. and is not necessarily related to politics. We are likely not the only species that socially learns from each other Vervet Monkies). 

You can see some proTrump and antiTrump activities within the same party. There is also mixed signals between traditional Republicans and proTrump Republicans as to which sentiments are likely to emerge as most important for party identity.

If that internal conflict exists for long enough we may find a split between centralists and far right ideologies (We would have two different philosophies at work. They may have difficulty meshing if leadership ideology rapidly swings based on leadership influence.). 

We can't really say that such a thing would for sure happen but if internal conflict lasts long enough it could form distinct internal social-resource networks and that would be a precursor to a split (i.e. the inability to work across the isle because of hyper polarization is also a risk for nations. Yikes we are already there! ). 

What happens after a split could be very interesting and likely not something I could cover in this blog post (Too many contingencies. Good and bad can occur at the same time.). 

I do have my perspective. As a light right Republican I think we should become more centralized (but I say that the same for both parties). I'm probably considered a Rino-Dino but I'm not sure how those terms are really used. 🤷

Mostly, I would like my country to succeed and that people stop playing political games because they are dangerous for our country and for the nature of our Democracy. Sometimes all the political arguments aren't really worth it. We could compromise and resolve most of these issues but we don't.

While most Americans just want the best for each other and the next generation, we will need to wait with fingers crossed that those we elected and believed in to protect our democracy can find a way through what appears to be largely self made political turmoil (There are some environmental pressures at work but the way in which we choose collectively as a society to respond to them is important.). 

A couple of articles...

Live Updates: Rep. Liz Cheney defeated in Wyoming Republican primary, says "now the real work begins"


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